Opinion: Premier Smith: Budget 2023 is a generational opportunity. Don’t blow it on a blowout

Opinion: Premier Smith: Budget 2023 is a generational opportunity. Don’t blow it on a blowout

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s government will table its first budget at the end of February. Article content As Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s government prepares to table its first budget at the end of this month, it faces a fundamental choice. Due largely to a record high windfall in resource revenues, the province will run a projected $12.3-billion surplus this fiscal year, with additional surpluses expected over the next two years. But Alberta’s history is quite clear. Spending these surpluses, as past governments have often done, will only lead the province back into deficits when resource revenues decline, as they inevitably will do. Instead of wasting this extraordinary opportunity and setting itself up for hard times down the road by spending these temporary revenue windfalls, the government should use the surpluses to improve Alberta’s finances and economy for the long-term. Article content A new essay series published by the Fraser Institute outlines three policy options for Alberta’s surpluses. Each avoids spending increases while establishing a path for Alberta’s improved long-term prosperity. Option one: University of Calgary economist Trevor Tombe recommends the government consider using the surpluses to eliminate the province’s debt. Why? Because the interest rate the government pays to […]

Organogenesis: Quantifying The Opportunity

Organogenesis: Quantifying The Opportunity

Summary Seeking Alpha’s quant ratings system provides a valuable tool for analysis of thousands of stocks. Underlying metrics for momentum and revisions undercut Organogenesis’ strong Quant valuation and profitability metrics. Quant ratings alone need supplementation; the stories underlying particular stocks help to round out a decision of whether or not to invest. There are risks associated with healthcare microcaps in general and with Organogenesis specifically. txpeter/iStock via Getty Images This is my first look at Organogenesis (NASDAQ: ORGO ). It manufactures and sells surgical and sports medicine products to support the healing of musculoskeletal injuries and degenerative conditions. I have selected it as an interesting foil to use in evaluating Seeking Alpha’s rich quant ratings system ("Quant"). Initially I will explain how Quant works generally for healthcare stocks, then I will focus on its application in the case of Organogenesis. Lastly I will give an overview of Organogenesis’ substantive investment merits. Quant provides a dynamic tool crunching important metrics How it works Serious investors with time to spare who have not already done so can spend some interesting and instructive time learning Quant’s ins and outs. It is a tool rich with data. My particular field of interest is […]

Soup, There It Is! Campbell’s Pullback Presents an Opportunity

Soup, There It Is! Campbell’s Pullback Presents an Opportunity

Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB) was among the U.S. large caps that bucked the bear market of 2022. With defensive names in favor, the soup and snacks maker was also one of few S&P 500 stocks that finished the year up at least 30%. But after reaching an intraday high of $57.78 shortly after Christmas, Campbell’s has retreated to around $50 . With investors clamoring for technology and consumer discretionary names this year, the market’s appetite for less risky staples has been less than hearty. For long-term investors, this is positive news for two reasons: 1) strong jobs data has the market re-considering the prospects for a more hawkish Fed and, therefore, the investment value of defensive companies like Campbell’s, and 2) the valuation on Campbell’s shares is looking mmm mmm good. How Did Campbell’s Soup Perform in 2022? As grocery store prices climbed higher, consumers were reluctant to shun Campbell’s brands in favor of cheaper alternatives. This helped drive 10% sales growth through the first three quarters of calendar 2022. The performance was capped off by 15% top-line growth in Q3, surprising Wall Street analysts and sending the stock to within $10 of its 2016 record high. During […]

Do You Think Abbott Laboratories (ABT) is an Attractive Investment Opportunity?

Do You Think Abbott Laboratories (ABT) is an Attractive Investment Opportunity?

Investment management company Vulcan Value Partners recently released its fourth-quarter 2022 investor letter. A copy of the same can be downloaded here . The firm has five strategies, and all trailed their benchmark indexes in 2022. In the fourth quarter, the fund’s Large-Cap Composite returned 8.2% net of fees and expenses, the Small Cap Composite returned 11.2% net, Focus Composite returned 7.6% net, the Focus Plus composite returned 7.7%, and All Cap Composite returned 7.2% net. You can check the top 5 holdings of the fund to know its best picks in 2022. Vulcan Value Partners highlighted stocks like Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT ) in the Q4 2022 investor letter. Headquartered in North Chicago, Illinois, Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) is a healthcare products company. On February 8, 2023, Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT)stock closed at $110.20 per share. One-month return of Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT)was -1.04%, and its shares lost 13.74% of their value over the last 52 weeks. Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT)has a market capitalization of $192.141 billion. Vulcan Value Partners made the following comment about Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) in its Q4 2022 investor letter: “ Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT) is one of the largest and most diversified health care companies in the world. […]

AWO’s Carpenter says offshore wind could be the biggest U.S. maritime opportunity “in a generation.”

AWO’s Carpenter says offshore wind could be the biggest U.S. maritime opportunity “in a generation.”

Jennifer Carpenter, president and CEO, American Waterways Operators (AWO) says “Offshore wind has the potential to be the biggest new opportunity for the domestic maritime industry in a generation.” In an interview with AJOT, Carpenter said: “We need conversations and contracts with wind developers to build the vessels that are needed for this trade.” Collaboration is key: “I’ve said before … nobody is going to go out and build a vessel on spec. You can’t expect somebody to go out and do that and take a chance … AWO members are getting into this business building vessels, adapting vessels for this market. Others are chomping at the bit to do so. What we really need is to get wind developers and vessel owners together and talk turkey: What are the specs? What do you need? When do you need it?” She also warned against wind developers who might seek Jones Act waivers to bring foreign built vessels and foreign crews into U.S. waters to do offshore wind work: “There are not going to be Jones Act waivers for somebody who failed to plan and then discovered: ‘I need U.S. built. I need crew transfer vessels. I guess I need […]

Finding Opportunity In Chaos: How Short-Term Rental Investors Can Navigate A Recession

Finding Opportunity In Chaos: How Short-Term Rental Investors Can Navigate A Recession

Sebastian Rivas is the founder and Head of Product for Andes STR , a leading Short-Term Rental investments and technology firm. getty If there is anything past recessions can tell us about today’s climate, it’s that short-term rental investors can better position themselves during economic uncertainty if they understand how to best leverage their property investments. The start of 2023 is an opportune time to study recessions, as both the Wall Street Journal and Pitchbook said there’s about a 65% likelihood of a recession happening in late 2023 or early 2024. One can turn to historical demands to understand what’s in store for our current economic forecast. For short-term real estate investors, it can be helpful to look at past trends in the travel industry, in particular, as tourism demand can impact investors’ returns and exit opportunities down the line. History tells us that the effect of a recession on tourists’ and businesses’ willingness to travel is nuanced. Following previous events such as 9/11, tourism revenue declined and took years to fully recover, according to data looking at the past 25 years from Trading Economics. Similarly, after the Great Financial Crisis in 2008, the tourism industry experienced a loss […]

Fitch Affirms Retail Opportunity Investments Corp. at 'BBB'; Outlook Stable

Fitch Affirms Retail Opportunity Investments Corp. at ‘BBB’; Outlook Stable

Fitch Ratings – New York – 09 Feb 2023: Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings for Retail Opportunity Investments Corp. (ROIC) and Retail Opportunity Investments Partnership, L.P. at ‘BBB’. The Rating Outlook is Stable. The affirmation reflects ROIC’s stable leverage metrics, transparent business model, and the high quality of its grocery-anchored shopping center assets. The company’s portfolio is near the high end of its shopping center REIT peer group with respect to key quality metrics, including household income and population demographics, rent per square foot, occupancy, and market implied cap rate. Consistent Credit Metrics: Fitch expects leverage (net debt/recurring operating EBITDA, excluding preferred stock) to sustain in the mid-to-high 6x range over the ratings horizon, consistent with company’s long-term leverage target at sub-7.0x. Fitch’s forecast of leverage and ROIC’s commitment to its target support ratings at the ‘BBB’ level. Fitch also estimates ROIC’s unencumbered assets/unsecured debt (UA/UD) ratio at 2.2x at a stressed 7.5% cap rate, which is appropriate for the rating. Strong Tenant Diversification: ROIC’s portfolio is well-diversified with its top 10 tenants comprising 19.7% of ABR at Sept. 30, 2022. Positively, the company only has four tenants accounting for 1.5% or more of total […]

Microsoft Stock: AI Opportunity Much Bigger Than Just Bing

Microsoft Stock: AI Opportunity Much Bigger Than Just Bing

If until now Microsoft’s ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) Bing search engine came across as a poor man’s Google, on Tuesday that changed completely. The tech giant unveiled the new AI-powered Bing, based on OpenAI’s GPT technology. The AI opportunity will not only have a big impact on digital advertising, says Piper Sandler analyst Brent Bracelin, but could have momentous implications elsewhere. “We estimate that the new AI-powered Bing could help expand Microsoft’s share of the digital ad market by 3% to 7% in CY26E. This equates to an incremental $20B in Microsoft consumer AI revenue (mostly digital ads),” the analyst explained. “That said, we see an even bigger enterprise opportunity that could expand to $22B by CY26E leveraging AI transformers further into four product categories: GitHub, Microsoft 365, Teams, and Azure AI services.” What’s more, Microsoft’s AI endeavors could have a much faster impact than previous new offerings. While it took Microsoft Cloud around nine years from the Azure and O365 launches in 2010 and 2013 to reach revenue over $40 billion, Bracelin reckons that across five product categories, Microsoft AI could grow to revenues of $40 billion in half the time, with Microsoft Consumer AI accounting for $20 billion+ […]

Welcoming the Talent x Opportunity Spring ‘23 Cohort

Welcoming the Talent x Opportunity Spring ‘23 Cohort

Since kicking off the Talent x Opportunity (TxO) Initiative , we have invested in 27 companies building products and services based on unique cultural insights. The founders we backed and continue to support have taken tremendous strides from initial ideation to accelerating their businesses by growing full-time headcount, strengthening go-to-market strategies with key partnerships and collaborations , and earning recognition for their breakthrough brands and sales . We continue to be motivated by the many impressive founders we meet during our selection process and this new cohort is no exception. The Spring 2023 cohort is an ambitious, driven group, ranging from a founder tackling the grave issue of mortality in Black women during childbirth to founders exposing children to financial literacy at an earlier age. Our work has only begun! Meet the newest TxO founders to join our growing community: Brent Craige, Donovan Williams and Marlon Butler (Jammaround) Brent Craige , and Donovan Williams are New Orleans natives who met as teenagers after Hurricane Katrina and built a working relationship post-college due to their mutual love of music. Brent met Marlon Butler , who hails from Huntsville, Alabama, at Tuskegee University while pledging a fraternity. The pair began working […]

Datadog: Near-Term Uncertainty In The Long-Term Winner Creates Perfect Buying Opportunity

Datadog: Near-Term Uncertainty In The Long-Term Winner Creates Perfect Buying Opportunity

Monica Click There are lots of concerns weighing on the minds of Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG ) investors. With the company largely clearing the hurdle in its 3Q22 results, there are still some concerns for the 4Q22 results and what might the full year 2023 guidance for the company be. Some of the concerns include the hyperscalers slowing momentum, concerns about end demand for observability and worries about the consumption model of Datadog. This article aims to provide investors with a preview for Datadog’s earnings that is expected to be released on 16 February. I have written a previous article on Datadog, which can be found here . Brief company description Datadog was founded in 2010 and was publicly listed in 2019. It is a monitoring and security platform for cloud applications, catering to users like developers, IT operations teams and business users. The company first started out in infrastructure monitoring and has expanded to observability, application performance monitoring, log management, UX and more recently into AIOps and Security. Cloud spend optimization, slower workload migration, and decelerating hyperscaler growth There is no doubt that Datadog could see a slowdown as what we have seen for the hyperscalers, which have thus […]